Cuiabá vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Vila Nova
Result
1:0
26/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 9
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.19
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
83% (370/447)79% (305/385)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.08
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
164
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
83% (370/447)79% (305/385)
Long passes
43% (26/60)35% (17/49)
Passes in final third
74% (110/149)63% (45/72)
Crosses
27% (7/26)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.23
Throw-ins
2834
Fouls
1711
Tackles
75% (9/12)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
2933
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.080.68
Goals prevented
0.03-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Juan Christian ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabriel Silva , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 46', Miticov , Diego Torres ,
  • 53', Diego Torres 🟥,
  • 60', Junior Todinho , Igor Inocencio ,
  • 60', Dodo , Gustavo Paje ,
  • 65', Denilson Alves 🟨,
  • 67', Matheusinho 🟨,
  • 72', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
  • 76', Juan Christian , Jadson ,
  • 76', Denilson Alves , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 80', Edu , David ,
  • 81', Gabriel Poveda , Ruan Ribeiro ,
  • 81', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
  • 83', Max Alves 🟨,
  • 86', Bruno Alves , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 86', Max Alves , Calebe Costa ,
  • 90+4', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
43.1%
Draw
33.1%
Vila Nova
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 28.4% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.3% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cuiabá - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.15)
    2.84
    (3.28)
    3.94
    (3.29)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Marcondes (Injury) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Davis E. (Knee Injury) Labandeira F. (Inactive) Lucas Sena (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Vila Nova were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 4:3
    17.04.2024 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:0
    22.03.2023 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:1
    15.03.2023 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 0:2
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    06.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Cuiabá 1:1
    27.04.2025 Cuiabá - Ferroviária 1:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Remo - Vila Nova 2:0
    06.05.2025 Athletic Club - Vila Nova 0:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )