Result
24/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
40.2% | Draw
32.7% | Cuiabá
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Vila Nova - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.27) |
2.91 ↓
(2.95) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
6.5%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
- Recent form of Vila Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cuiabá is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vila Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Cuiabá?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Vila Nova?
Cuiabá has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Cuiabá were as follows:
26.05.2025
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
1:0
11.05.2024
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
4:3
17.04.2024
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
2:0
22.03.2023
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
1:1
15.03.2023
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
0:2
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
