Result
1:0
26/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 9
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (370/447) | 79% (305/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (370/447) | 79% (305/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (110/149) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Juan Christian ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 46', Miticov ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
- 53', Diego Torres 🟥,
- 60', Junior Todinho ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 60', Dodo ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 65', Denilson Alves 🟨,
- 67', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 72', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
- 76', Juan Christian ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Denilson Alves ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 80', Edu ↓, David ↑,
- 81', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 81', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
- 83', Max Alves 🟨,
- 86', Bruno Alves ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 86', Max Alves ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
- 90+4', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 90+7', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
43.1% | Draw
33.1% | Vila Nova
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Cuiabá - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.15) |
2.84 ↓
(3.28) |
3.94 ↑
(3.29) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cuiabá is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Labandeira F.
(Inactive)
Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Vila Nova?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Cuiabá?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Vila Nova were as follows:
11.05.2024
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
4:3
17.04.2024
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
2:0
22.03.2023
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
1:1
15.03.2023
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
0:2
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
