Penafiel vs Vilafranquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Penafiel - Vilafranquense
Result
1:1
19/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
40.1%
Draw
30.5%
Vilafranquense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 29% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 28.8% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Penafiel - Vilafranquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.09)
    3
    (3.13)
    3.12
    (3.31)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Penafiel - Vilafranquense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vilafranquense: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Vilafranquense were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Vilafranquense - Penafiel 0:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    10.03.2023 Moreirense - Penafiel 3:1
    04.03.2023 Penafiel - Oliveirense 1:1
    24.02.2023 Trofense - Penafiel 1:2
    18.02.2023 Penafiel - Covilhã 1:1
    13.02.2023 BSAD - Penafiel 2:2
    Latest results of Vilafranquense
    11.03.2023 Vilafranquense - Farense 1:1
    04.03.2023 Benfica B - Vilafranquense 0:2
    26.02.2023 Vilafranquense - Porto B 1:2
    18.02.2023 Feirense - Vilafranquense 1:2
    11.02.2023 Vilafranquense - Trofense 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

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