Lorenzo Giustino vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas
Result
1:2
08/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
62%68%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (47/69)67% (49/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (22/42)62% (21/34)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (24/73)32% (22/69)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (13/34)48% (20/42)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
62% (69/111)65% (69/106)
Return Points Won
35% (37/106)38% (42/111)
Total Points Won
49% (106/217)51% (111/217)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Giustino
33.8%
Vilius Gaubas
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 69.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.75)

    1.41
    (1.4)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Giustino is ranked ATP: 305. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.
    • Giustino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Gaubas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Gaubas to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Lorenzo Giustino 2:0
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2