Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 77% (43/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 53% (10/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (13/56) | 33% (17/52) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 53% (19/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (52/88) | 71% (53/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (22/75) | 41% (36/88) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (74/163) | 55% (89/163) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 57% (16/28) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
58.1% | Vilius Gaubas
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.7) |
|
2.22 ↑
(2.04) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 133. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.
- Recent matches Ofner is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gaubas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Ofner won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Vilius Gaubas?
Sebastian Ofner has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Sebastian Ofner?
Vilius Gaubas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
04.04.2025
Vilius Gaubas
-
Sebastian Ofner
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
