Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Cao R. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Ferro L. ⚽,
- 16', Aguerre F. 🟨,
- 36', Mendez E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Akimenco T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 45+2', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rapp A. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 46', Gauna I. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 46', Cao R. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Meza A. ⚽,
- 57', Guzman L. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
- 68', Garraza M. ↓, Cacace J. ↑,
- 68', Ojeda F. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 68', Samaniego M. ↓, Benavidez N. ↑,
- 74', Lugones A. 🟨,
- 81', Ferro L. 🟨,
- 83', Silva J. ↓, Alvarez R. ↑,
- 85', Benega S. ↓, Ibarra L. ↑,
- 85', Meza A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 87', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fernandez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Villa San Carlos
26.4% | Draw
32.1% | Deportivo Merlo
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa San Carlos's form might have worsened.Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Merlo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.19) |
2.89 ↓
(2.9) |
2.23 ↓
(3.56) |
7.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2.
- Villa San Carlos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportivo Merlo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Villa San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Villa San Carlos won against Deportivo Merlo?
Villa San Carlos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Villa San Carlos?
Deportivo Merlo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
27.07.2024
Villa San Carlos
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:1
10.03.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Villa San Carlos
1:1
19.08.2023
Deportivo Merlo
-
Villa San Carlos
2:2
16.04.2023
Villa San Carlos
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
04.09.2022
Villa San Carlos
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
Latest results of Villa San Carlos
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Villa San Carlos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sportivo Italiano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Midland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Flandria | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Deportivo Armenio | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Sacachispas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Acassuso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Argentino de Quilmes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | UAI Urquiza | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Fenix | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Liniers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Dock Sud | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Comunicaciones | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 | Villa Dalmine | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Argentino de Merlo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Excursionistas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
