Lugazi Municipal vs Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Cup Lugazi Municipal - Villa
Result
0:1
18/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UGANDA: Uganda Cup - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 69', 0 - 1, Mpande R. ,

Chances of winning


Lugazi Municipal
34%
Draw
30.9%
Villa
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 27.1% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugazi Municipal's form might have worsened.
  • Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugazi Municipal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugazi Municipal - Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (1.82)
    2.91
    (3.25)
    2.56
    (4.09)
    11.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Lugazi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Villa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Lugazi is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugazi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - Villa were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Villa - Lugazi Municipal 1:1
    Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
    Latest results of Villa
    14.03.2025 Bright Stars - Villa 1:3
    09.03.2025 Villa - Maroons 0:2
    02.03.2025 UPDF - Villa 2:0
    15.02.2025 Villa - Express 1:0
    11.02.2025 Wakiso Giants - Villa 1:1
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1VipersBlacks Power3 : 0
    2LugaziVilla0 : 1
    3GaddafiKitara1 : 2
    4BULTotal7 : 0
    5Kaaro KarungiUPDF3 : 0
    6Kampala CityRwenzori Lions4 : 0
    7MaroonsPolice0 : 1
    8URA SCKataka1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1VipersVilla1 : 0
    2KitaraBUL1 : 0
    3Kaaro KarungiKampala City1 : 2
    4PoliceKataka0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1VipersKitara1 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Kampala CityKataka1 : 1, 3 : 0

    Final
    1VipersKampala City2 : 0