Result
2:0
19/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uganda | Sanyuka TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Ssebuufu F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Villa
58.3% | Draw
26.5% | Maroons
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Villa - Maroons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.61) |
3.4 ↑
(3.25) |
5.91 ↑
(5.41) |
11.2%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa won 1.
- Villa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Maroons's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Villa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Villa won against Maroons?
Villa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maroons won against Villa?
Maroons has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villa - Maroons were as follows:
06.12.2025
Maroons
-
Villa
1:0
09.03.2025
Villa
-
Maroons
0:2
24.10.2024
Maroons
-
Villa
1:1
01.02.2024
Villa
-
Maroons
2:1
24.09.2023
Maroons
-
Villa
1:1
Latest results of Maroons
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Kitara | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Police | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | BUL | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
