Villacañas vs Tarancón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 24

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Moreno R. ,
  • 20', Juancho 🟥,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Fizesan M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Villacañas
24.2%
Draw
43%
Tarancón
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 30.8% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 30.9% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villacañas's form might have worsened.
  • Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villacañas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Villacañas - Tarancón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.27
    (2.83)
    2.4
    (2.92)
    3.15
    (2.4)
    -3%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 1.
    • Villacañas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tarancón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villacañas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villacañas - Tarancón were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Tarancón - Villacañas 0:0
    30.11.2024 Villacañas - Tarancón 2:1
    16.03.2024 Tarancón - Villacañas 2:0
    21.10.2023 Villacañas - Tarancón 0:1
    11.03.2023 Tarancón - Villacañas 4:1
    Latest results of Villacañas
    Latest results of Tarancón
    21.02.2026 Tarancón - Illescas 2:1
    14.02.2026 Manchego - Tarancón 0:2
    07.02.2026 Tarancón - Villarrobledo 3:0
    01.02.2026 Albacete B - Tarancón 2:0
    24.01.2026 Tarancón - La Solana 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo26168245:133256
    2Puertollano C.F26167339:162355
    3Tarancon26157445:212452
    4Albacete B26149338:142451
    5Ciudad Real26154744:242049
    6Villarrubia26126832:24842
    7Villacanas26118725:16941
    8San Clemente26109728:29-139
    9Guadalajara B26971024:25-134
    10Huracan de Balazote26931427:37-1030
    11Villarrobledo26791024:33-930
    12Marchamalo26861233:35-230
    13La Solana266101017:24-728
    14Illescas26691118:29-1127
    15Azuqueca264101218:30-1222
    16Pedroneras263111221:37-1620
    17Cazalegas26361714:49-3515
    18Sonseca26271718:54-3613

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation