Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Minon J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Villafranca 37.6% | Draw 27.7% | Jaraíz 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Villafranca - Jaraíz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.68) |
3.27 ↑ (3.25) |
2.61 ↑ (2.5) |
10.3% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Villafranca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jaraíz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Villafranca won against Jaraíz?
Villafranca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Villafranca?
Jaraíz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villafranca - Jaraíz were as follows:
02.11.2025
Jaraíz
-
Villafranca
4:1
04.05.2025
Villafranca
-
Jaraíz
1:2
22.12.2024
Jaraíz
-
Villafranca
4:1
21.01.2024
Jaraíz
-
Villafranca
1:2
10.09.2023
Villafranca
-
Jaraíz
5:0
Latest results of Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation