Villafranca vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Millan R. G. ,
  • 43', Munoz A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 80', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Villafranca
33.8%
Draw
32.6%
Llerenense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 31.2% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Villafranca - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.45)
    2.79
    (3.14)
    2.71
    (2.66)
    10%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1.
    • In recent matches, Villafranca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Llerenense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villafranca - Llerenense were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Llerenense - Villafranca 0:1
    17.04.2025 Villafranca - Llerenense 1:4
    08.12.2024 Llerenense - Villafranca 2:1
    19.03.2023 Llerenense - Villafranca 1:0
    20.11.2022 Villafranca - Llerenense 0:2
    Latest results of Villafranca
    08.02.2026 Badajoz - Villafranca 1:0
    01.02.2026 Villafranca - Pueblonuevo 4:0
    25.01.2026 Montijo - Villafranca 0:1
    18.01.2026 Villafranca - Moralo 0:1
    11.01.2026 Villafranca - Diocesano 1:0
    Latest results of Llerenense
    08.02.2026 Llerenense - Don Benito 1:0
    01.02.2026 Santa Amalia - Llerenense 1:2
    25.01.2026 Llerenense - Azuaga 0:0
    18.01.2026 Gévora - Llerenense 1:2
    11.01.2026 Calamonte - Llerenense 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

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