Villanovense vs Pueblonuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Izquierdo L. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Mena I. ,
  • 88', Mena I. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Villanovense
77%
Draw
15.7%
Pueblonuevo
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 20.2% 9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 10.8% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.
  • Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-39.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pueblonuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villanovense - Pueblonuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.3)
    5.88
    (4.5)
    12.53
    (9.4)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Pueblonuevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Villanovense is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Villanovense
    09.11.2025 Montijo - Villanovense 1:0
    02.11.2025 Villanovense - Moralo 0:1
    26.10.2025 Diocesano - Villanovense 0:0
    19.10.2025 Villanovense - Villafranca 3:1
    13.10.2025 Don Benito - Villanovense 2:0
    Latest results of Pueblonuevo
    01.11.2025 Llerenense - Pueblonuevo 2:0
    25.10.2025 Pueblonuevo - Badajoz 0:3
    19.10.2025 Jerez - Pueblonuevo 5:1
    12.10.2025 Montijo - Pueblonuevo 1:0
    04.10.2025 Pueblonuevo - Moralo 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation