Result
1:2
21/04/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 32
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | SuperSport |
Argentina | DirecTV |
Australia | Optus Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu |
France | beIN Sports Max |
Greece | Nova Sports |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Spain | M+ LaLiga |
United-kingdom | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.68 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
24 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
13 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 11 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 16 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Attacks |
---|
107 | 73 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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47 | 32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Akhomach I. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Akhomach I. 🟨,
- 59', Coquelin F. 🟨,
- 60', Parejo D. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
- 61', Pedraza A. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 62', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
- 69', Lopy D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
- 69', Lozano C. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 72', Moreno G. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 72', Mandi A. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
- 73', Viera J. 🟨,
- 76', Viera J. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
- 79', Akhomach I. ↓, Morales J. L. ↑,
- 80', Ramazani L. 🟨,
- 85', Embarba A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 87', Ramazani L. 🟨,
- 88', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
Chances of winning
Almería 27.6% | Draw 24.6% | Villarreal 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almería - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.5 ↑ (2.87) |
3.89 ↑ (3.65) |
2.02 ↓ (2.34) |
3.8% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Villarreal?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7% – 81.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
- Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Villarreal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Villarreal will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Villarreal?
Almería has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Almería?
Villarreal has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Villarreal were as follows:
17.09.2023
Villarreal
-
Almería
2:1
04.03.2023
Almería
-
Villarreal
0:2
23.10.2022
Villarreal
-
Almería
2:1
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Villarreal
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Alaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Atl. Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Ath Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | R. Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2