Almería vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Almería - Villarreal
Result
1:2
21/04/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 32
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
greeceGreeceNova Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
spainSpainM+ LaLiga
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.20
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
2411
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
137
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1711
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
1911
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
1016
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
10773
Dangerous Attacks
4732

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Akhomach I. , Pedraza A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Akhomach I. 🟨,
  • 59', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 60', Parejo D. , Guedes G. ,
  • 61', Pedraza A. , Moreno A. ,
  • 62', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
  • 69', Lopy D. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 69', Lozano C. , Pena M. ,
  • 72', Moreno G. , Traore B. ,
  • 72', Mandi A. , Cuenca J. ,
  • 73', Viera J. 🟨,
  • 76', Viera J. , Arribas S. ,
  • 79', Akhomach I. , Morales J. L. ,
  • 80', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 85', Embarba A. , Romero L. ,
  • 87', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 88', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. , Moreno A. (A),

Chances of winning


Almería
27.6%
Draw
24.6%
Villarreal
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 26.1% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 26% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almería - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.87)
    3.89
    (3.65)
    2.02
    (2.34)
    3.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7%81.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
    • Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Villarreal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Villarreal will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Villarreal were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Villarreal - Almería 2:1
    04.03.2023 Almería - Villarreal 0:2
    23.10.2022 Villarreal - Almería 2:1
    Latest results of Almería
    14.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Almería 2:2
    30.03.2024 Almería - Osasuna 0:3
    17.03.2024 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    11.03.2024 Almería - Sevilla 2:2
    01.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Villarreal
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2