Almería vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Power Horse Stadium (Almería).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 32
Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	1.20
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Goal Attempts
24	11
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
13	7
Blocked Shots
6	1
Free Kicks
17	11
Corner Kicks
5	2
Offsides
1	2
Throw-ins
19	11
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Fouls
10	16
Red Cards
1	0
Yellow Cards
3	4
Attacks
107	73
Dangerous Attacks
47	32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Akhomach I. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Akhomach I. 🟨,
59', Coquelin F. 🟨,
60', Parejo D. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
61', Pedraza A. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
62', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
69', Lopy D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
69', Lozano C. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
72', Moreno G. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
72', Mandi A. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
73', Viera J. 🟨,
76', Viera J. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
79', Akhomach I. ↓, Morales J. L. ↑,
80', Ramazani L. 🟨,
85', Embarba A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
87', Ramazani L. 🟨,
88', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),

Chances of winning

Almería
27.6%

Draw
24.6%

Villarreal
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Almería - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.87)	3.89 ↑ (3.65)	2.02 ↓ (2.34)	3.8% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Almería - Villarreal?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7% – 81.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Villarreal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Villarreal will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Villarreal?

Almería has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Almería?

Villarreal has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Villarreal were as follows:

17.09.2023 Villarreal - Almería 2:1

04.03.2023 Almería - Villarreal 0:2

23.10.2022 Villarreal - Almería 2:1

Latest results of Almería

14.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Almería 2:2 ✺

30.03.2024 Almería - Osasuna 0:3 ✺

17.03.2024 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1 ✺

11.03.2024 Almería - Sevilla 2:2 ✺

01.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Almería 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

14.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺

17.03.2024 Villarreal - Valencia 1:0 ✺

14.03.2024 Villarreal - Olympique Marseille 3:1 ✺

10.03.2024 Betis - Villarreal 2:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Villarreal?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Spain	M+ LaLiga
United-kingdom	Viaplay