Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 25
Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	0.50
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
10	10
Shots on Goal
5	5
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
Free Kicks
12	15
Offsides
0	0
Fouls
15	12
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
23	29
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	15
Passes
82% (339/413)	78% (309/396)
Passes in the final third
65% (79/121)	63% (54/86)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	30% (6/20)
Tackles
75% (6/8)	42% (10/24)
Clearances Total
29	27
Interceptions
13	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Palazon I. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
42', de Frutos J. 🟥,
44', Barry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Pino Y. 🟨,
62', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
62', Pino Y. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
73', Nteka R. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
73', Ciss P. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
78', Ratiu A. 🟨,
80', Barry T. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
87', Garcia A. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
87', Diaz P. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
90+1', Conde D. 🟨,
90+2', Baena A. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
90+5', Parejo D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4k8mvwps

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
33.6%

Draw
29.4%

Villarreal
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.4%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.76)	2.6 ↑ (2.29)	3.5% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 16.3% – 56.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury)
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Moreno G. (Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Hamstring Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Kiko Femenia (Back Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:38 (average 1.1:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Villarreal?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Rayo Vallecano?

Villarreal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal were as follows:

18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

28.04.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 3:0

24.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 1:1

28.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2:1

30.01.2023 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 0:1

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺

31.01.2025 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Girona 2:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Las Palmas - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Villarreal - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Betis	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
3	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
5	Getafe	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
7	Espanyol	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Real Sociedad	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
14	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
18	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
19	R. Oviedo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
20	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2