Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 11
  • Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.11
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
87% (372/426)86% (397/459)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.15
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
3622
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
117
Passes
87% (372/426)86% (397/459)
Long passes
73% (27/37)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
65% (58/89)72% (88/123)
Crosses
17% (1/6)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.85
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
711
Tackles
80% (8/10)47% (8/17)
Duels won
3835
Clearances
2911
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.152.21
Goals prevented
1.15-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Moreno G. , Mikautadze G. (A),
  • 28', Moleiro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Mikautadze G. , Oluwaseyi T. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Moleiro A. , Pedraza A. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 0, Comesana S. , Moleiro A. (A),
  • 63', Moleiro A. , Buchanan T. ,
  • 64', Moreno G. , Perez A. ,
  • 65', 4 - 0, Perez A. ,
  • 66', Palazon I. , Perez F. ,
  • 66', Garcia A. , Camello S. ,
  • 66', de Frutos J. , Valentin O. ,
  • 74', Comesana S. , Parejo D. ,
  • 76', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 77', Pepe N. , Akhomach I. ,
  • 79', Alemao , Balliu I. ,
  • 79', Diaz P. , Trejo O. ,

Chances of winning


Villarreal
54.7%
Draw
24.9%
Rayo Vallecano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 25% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 26.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.72)
    3.85
    (3.81)
    4.73
    (4.81)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.79%92.47%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.
    • Villarreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Villarreal is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1
    18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    28.04.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    24.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 1:1
    28.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2:1
    Latest results of Villarreal
    25.10.2025 Valencia - Villarreal 0:2
    18.10.2025 Villarreal - Betis 2:2
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 31261484:305479
    2Real Madrid31224565:293670
    3Villarreal31194856:362061
    4Atl. Madrid31176851:321957
    5Betis311113745:38746
    6Celta Vigo311111944:40444
    7Real Sociedad311191149:48142
    8Getafe301251327:31-441
    9Osasuna311091237:38-139
    10Espanyol311081337:48-1138
    11Ath Bilbao311151533:45-1238
    12Girona319111133:45-1238
    13Rayo Vallecano318111229:38-935
    14Valencia31981434:46-1235
    15Mallorca31971539:48-934
    16Sevilla31971539:51-1234
    17Alaves31891435:46-1133
    18Elche317111339:47-832
    19Oviedo31691624:48-2427
    20Levante30681634:50-1626

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )