Result
2:3
18/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 7
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Villarrubia 39.9% | Draw 33.4% | Illescas 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrubia's form might have worsened.Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+18.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarrubia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illescas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villarrubia - Illescas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (1.59) |
3.21 ↓ (3.6) |
4.02 ↓ (5.09) |
-6.8% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1.
- Villarrubia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Illescas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Villarrubia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Villarrubia is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Villarrubia won against Illescas?
Villarrubia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Illescas won against Villarrubia?
Illescas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villarrubia - Illescas were as follows:
06.05.2023
Illescas
-
Villarrubia
0:0
18.02.2023
Villarrubia
-
Illescas
1:1
15.10.2022
Illescas
-
Villarrubia
2:0
28.09.2022
Villarrubia
-
Illescas
2:0
Latest results of Villarrubia
Latest results of Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toledo | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 38:12 | 26 | 51 |
| 2 | Tarancon | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Puertollano C.F | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 48 |
| 4 | Ciudad Real | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Albacete B | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | Villacanas | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Guadalajara B | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | La Solana | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 | Huracan de Balazote | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Illescas | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16:27 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Pedroneras | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 16 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16:49 | -33 | 12 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12:37 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation