Villarrubia vs Illescas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
18/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, ,
  • 43', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 2, ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Villarrubia
39.9%
Draw
33.4%
Illescas
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 24.7% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrubia's form might have worsened.
  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarrubia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illescas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Villarrubia - Illescas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (1.59)
    3.21
    (3.6)
    4.02
    (5.09)
    -6.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1.
    • Villarrubia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Illescas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Villarrubia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Villarrubia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarrubia - Illescas were as follows:
    06.05.2023 Illescas - Villarrubia 0:0
    18.02.2023 Villarrubia - Illescas 1:1
    15.10.2022 Illescas - Villarrubia 2:0
    28.09.2022 Villarrubia - Illescas 2:0
    Latest results of Villarrubia
    11.10.2025 Manchego - Villarrubia 1:1
    28.09.2025 Albacete B - Villarrubia 0:0
    20.09.2025 Villarrubia - La Solana 2:0
    Latest results of Illescas
    11.10.2025 Illescas - Tarancón 0:2
    21.09.2025 San Clemente - Illescas 0:1
    13.09.2025 Illescas - Villacañas 0:0
    06.09.2025 Sonseca - Illescas 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo23156238:122651
    2Tarancon23155343:172650
    3Puertollano C.F23146333:141948
    4Ciudad Real23133739:221742
    5Albacete B23119331:141742
    6Villacanas23117524:131140
    7Villarrubia23115730:22838
    8San Clemente2388724:27-332
    9Guadalajara B2387821:22-131
    10Marchamalo23851029:29029
    11La Solana2369816:21-527
    12Villarrobledo2368920:28-826
    13Huracan de Balazote23821325:35-1026
    14Illescas23581016:27-1123
    15Azuqueca232101116:28-1216
    16Pedroneras232101119:35-1616
    17Sonseca23261516:49-3312
    18Cazalegas23261512:37-2512

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