Illescas vs Villarrubia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 24

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Illescas
38%
Draw
30.5%
Villarrubia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.5% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 30.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.
  • Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarrubia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarrubia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Illescas - Villarrubia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.79)
    2.99
    (2.95)
    2.91
    (2.42)
    9.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 3.
    • Illescas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Villarrubia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Villarrubia were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Villarrubia - Illescas 2:3
    06.05.2023 Illescas - Villarrubia 0:0
    18.02.2023 Villarrubia - Illescas 1:1
    15.10.2022 Illescas - Villarrubia 2:0
    28.09.2022 Villarrubia - Illescas 2:0
    Latest results of Illescas
    21.02.2026 Tarancón - Illescas 2:1
    15.02.2026 Illescas - Pedroñeras 0:1
    01.02.2026 Illescas - San Clemente 1:1
    24.01.2026 Villacañas - Illescas 1:0
    Latest results of Villarrubia
    21.02.2026 Villarrubia - Manchego 1:0
    07.02.2026 Villarrubia - Albacete B 1:2
    01.02.2026 La Solana - Villarrubia 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo26168245:133256
    2Puertollano C.F26167339:162355
    3Tarancon26157445:212452
    4Albacete B26149338:142451
    5Ciudad Real26154744:242049
    6Villarrubia26126832:24842
    7Villacanas26118725:16941
    8San Clemente26109728:29-139
    9Guadalajara B26971024:25-134
    10Huracan de Balazote26931427:37-1030
    11Villarrobledo26791024:33-930
    12Marchamalo26861233:35-230
    13La Solana266101017:24-728
    14Illescas26691118:29-1127
    15Azuqueca264101218:30-1222
    16Pedroneras263111221:37-1620
    17Cazalegas26361714:49-3515
    18Sonseca26271718:54-3613

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