Villegas vs Peña Balsamaiso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
15/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)

Chances of winning


Villegas
46.3%
Draw
26.3%
Peña Balsamaiso
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 26.1% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 22.5% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villegas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.95)
    3.44
    (3.47)
    3.3
    (3.29)
    10.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Villegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peña Balsamaiso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Villegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Villegas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Villegas
    02.11.2025 Villegas - Berceo 1:0
    18.10.2025 Villegas - Oyonesa 0:3
    12.10.2025 Pradejón - Villegas 3:0
    27.09.2025 Haro Deportivo - Villegas 1:2
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

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