Result
3:2
15/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
Chances of winning
Villegas
46.3% | Draw
26.3% | Peña Balsamaiso
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villegas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.95) |
3.44 ↓
(3.47) |
3.3 ↑
(3.29) |
10.7%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Villegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peña Balsamaiso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Villegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Villegas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Villegas won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Villegas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Villegas?
Peña Balsamaiso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
Latest results of Villegas
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
