Virtus CiseranoBergamo vs Pavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Ferrario C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Ghiozzi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Virtus CiseranoBergamo
41.3%
Draw
27.1%
Pavia
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 27.3% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 26% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.3)
    3.37
    (3.36)
    2.89
    (2.78)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - CiseranoBergamo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CiseranoBergamo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • CiseranoBergamo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Pavia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Virtus CiseranoBergamo
    Latest results of Pavia
    07.12.2025 Pavia - Casatese 3:3
    30.11.2025 Scanzorosciate - Pavia 3:1
    23.11.2025 Pavia - Leon 1:2
    15.11.2025 Pavia - Vogherese 0:0
    09.11.2025 Castellanzese - Pavia 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese311810351:222964
    2Chievo311741046:38855
    3USD Casatese311313544:281652
    4Leon31149842:311151
    5AC Milan U2331148949:341550
    6Villa Valle311371140:40046
    7Scanzorosciate311112840:291145
    8Brusaporto311361235:35045
    9Oltrepo311381033:31244
    10Ciserano-Bergamo311012926:26042
    11Caldiero Terme31913941:37440
    12Real Calepina311171339:40-140
    13Castellanzese311091237:33439
    14Breno318101335:46-1134
    15Pavia318101332:44-1234
    16Varesina316131233:40-731
    17Sondrio31671828:58-3025
    18Vogherese ✔ 31282119:58-398

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to