Gwangju vs Vissel Kobe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0 ET
12/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 1, SportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, FanCode, FanCode, Star Sports Select 1, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
iraqIraqAl Rabiaa Sport
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub 1, SportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
philippinesPhilippinesMatchday+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving, tvN Sports
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.73
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
2116
Shots on Goal
91
Shots off Goal
510
Blocked Shots
75
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
118
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Free Kicks
3125
Offsides
41
Fouls
2531
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
2232
Touches in the Opposition Box
2128
Passes
80% (461/579)67% (252/374)
Passes in the final third
70% (133/190)50% (70/140)
Crosses
27% (7/26)13% (4/30)
Tackles
71% (10/14)70% (19/27)
Clearances Total
3136
Interceptions
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Park Jeong-In , Park Tae-Jun (A),
  • 27', Sasaki D. 🟨,
  • 36', Min Sang-Gi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Miyashiro T. , Muto Y. ,
  • 60', Ogihara T. 🟨,
  • 67', Park Jeong-In , Park In-Hyeok ,
  • 69', Kuwasaki Y. , Erik ,
  • 69', Ide H. , Ideguchi Y. ,
  • 77', Lee K. , Ju Se-Jong ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Asani J. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Osako Y. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 102', Sasaki D. , Yamauchi K. ,
  • 112', Min Sang-Gi , Bruno Oliveira ,
  • 116', Oh Hoo-Sung , Choi Kyoung-Rok ,
  • 118', 3 - 0, Asani J. , Choi Kyoung-Rok (A),
  • 119', Asani J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gwangju
27.9%
Draw
29.1%
Vissel Kobe
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.9% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 28.5% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Gwangju - Vissel Kobe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.97)
    3.24
    (3.21)
    2.19
    (2.32)
    6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gwangju - Vissel Kobe?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Gwangju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Vissel Kobe - Gwangju 2:0
    05.11.2024 Vissel Kobe - Gwangju 2:0
    Latest results of Gwangju
    05.03.2025 Vissel Kobe - Gwangju 2:0
    01.03.2025 Gwangju - Anyang 2:1
    18.02.2025 Gwangju - Buriram United 2:2
    15.02.2025 Gwangju - Suwon 0:0
    Latest results of Vissel Kobe
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)