Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (290/398) | 67% (187/278) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (290/398) | 67% (187/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (105/159) | 60% (60/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', Takamine T. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Sakai G. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 31', Ogihara T. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Caetano ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Morishima T. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 2, Sasaki D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 69', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 76', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 77', Yamakawa T. 🟨,
- 79', Mitsuta M. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 79', Goke Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Muto Y. ⚽, Jean Patric (A),
- 86', Nogami Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 86', Morishima T. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 90+19', Maekawa D. ↓, Gonda S. ↑,
- 90+19', Thuler M. ↓, Nduka B. ↑,
- 90+20', Mori S. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
47.4% | Draw
27.5% | Nagoya Grampus
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.92) |
3.4 ↓
(3.46) |
3.75 ↓
(4.03) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vissel Kobe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Hirose R.
(Injury)
Muto Y.
(Surgery)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Diego
(Injury)
Komatsu R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Nagoya Grampus?
Vissel Kobe has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Vissel Kobe?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
14.03.2026
Nagoya Grampus
-
Vissel Kobe
0:3
15.06.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
22.02.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Vissel Kobe
2:2
20.07.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:3
03.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Vissel Kobe
0:2
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
