Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.84
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
74% (261/352)75% (305/407)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.01
Total shots
157
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
74% (261/352)75% (305/407)
Long passes
42% (25/59)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
71% (92/130)55% (53/97)
Crosses
21% (6/28)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.62
Throw-ins
3826
Fouls
1213
Tackles
61% (11/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5856
Clearances
2136
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.012.31
Goals prevented
0.01-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ogihara T. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Oda Y. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. , Sasaki D. (A),
  • 56', Oiwa K. , Ishii H. ,
  • 56', Ono K. , Okuno H. ,
  • 68', Hirose R. , Yuruki K. ,
  • 71', Oda Y. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Sasaki D. , Miyashiro T. (A),
  • 81', Barada A. , Ze Ricardo ,
  • 81', Ogihara T. , Nagato K. ,
  • 81', Sasaki D. , Yamauchi K. ,
  • 83', Fukuda S. , Nitta R. ,
  • 88', Yamakawa T. , Iwanami T. ,
  • 88', Erik , Gustavo Klismahn ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Yuruki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vissel Kobe
60.9%
Draw
23.3%
Shonan Bellmare
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 20.3% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4% 19.1% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    4.02
    (4.57)
    5.95
    (7.35)
    6.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 56%91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Vissel Kobe (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.
    • Vissel Kobe has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Vissel Kobe is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K. (Inactive) Muto Y. (Back Injury) Tominaga N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S. (Inactive) Matsumoto K. (Inactive) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Jean Patric (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Suzuki J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Vissel Kobe will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 1:2
    08.12.2024 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 3:0
    20.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 0:1
    28.10.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe 1:1
    12.10.2022 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 1:0
    Latest results of Vissel Kobe
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)