Result
4:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (261/352) | 75% (305/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (261/352) | 75% (305/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (92/130) | 55% (53/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Ogihara T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
- 56', Oiwa K. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 56', Ono K. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 68', Hirose R. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 71', Oda Y. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 0, Sasaki D. ⚽, Miyashiro T. (A),
- 81', Barada A. ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
- 81', Ogihara T. ↓, Nagato K. ↑,
- 81', Sasaki D. ↓, Yamauchi K. ↑,
- 83', Fukuda S. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 88', Yamakawa T. ↓, Iwanami T. ↑,
- 88', Erik ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, Yuruki K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
60.9% | Draw
23.3% | Shonan Bellmare
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-4%)
Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.38) |
4.02 ↓
(4.57) |
5.95 ↓
(7.35) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vissel Kobe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.
- Vissel Kobe has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K.
(Inactive)
Muto Y.
(Back Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S.
(Inactive)
Matsumoto K.
(Inactive)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Jean Patric
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Suzuki J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Vissel Kobe will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Shonan Bellmare?
Vissel Kobe has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Vissel Kobe?
Shonan Bellmare has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
16.03.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Vissel Kobe
1:2
08.12.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Shonan Bellmare
3:0
20.04.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Vissel Kobe
0:1
28.10.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Vissel Kobe
1:1
12.10.2022
Vissel Kobe
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:0
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
