Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/292) | 73% (244/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/292) | 73% (244/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (70/103) | 72% (119/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 12% (4/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
- 37', Sakai G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Yuruki K. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 70', Hirose R. ↓, Thuler ↑,
- 70', Erik ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 77', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 83', Koizumi K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
- 84', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 84', Shirai K. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
- 85', Sasaki D. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
- 90', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Kitahara M. ↑,
- 90+12', Honda Y. 🟨,
- 90+13', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tokyo
22.7% | Draw
27.5% | Vissel Kobe
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Tokyo - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↑
(4.04) |
3.41 ↓
(3.45) |
1.91 ↑
(1.9) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Muto Y.
(Injury)
Osako Y.
(Injury)
Thuler
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Vissel Kobe?
Tokyo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Tokyo?
Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
18.10.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Tokyo
0:2
09.03.2024
Tokyo
-
Vissel Kobe
1:2
26.08.2023
Tokyo
-
Vissel Kobe
2:2
27.05.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Tokyo
3:2
14.09.2022
Vissel Kobe
-
Tokyo
2:1
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
