Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 12
- Referee: Yasenovich E. (Blr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Leonovich K. 🟨,
- 39', Leonovich K. ↓, Krasnov E. ↑,
- 39', Makushinsky Y. ↓, Girs D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Firsov A. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 0, Ksenofontov A. ⚽, Tikhonovskiy S. (A),
- 64', Diallo M. ↓, Sodikov S. ↑,
- 67', Bashilov M. 🟨,
- 67', Maslovskiy V. 🟨,
- 72', Novykh E. ↓, Kuntsevich M. ↑,
- 72', Chebotar V. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Ksenofontov A. ⚽,
- 77', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Lisovskiy R. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Firsov A. ⚽, Yablonskiy M. (A),
Chances of winning
Vitebsk
59.8% | Draw
24.4% | Smorgon
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitebsk's performance.Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smorgon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-28.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+22.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smorgon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitebsk - Smorgon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(3.09) |
3.8 ↑
(3.2) |
5.89 ↑
(2.42) |
7.6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitebsk - Smorgon?
Users Predictions:
Vitebsk will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
- In recent matches, Vitebsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Smorgon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vitebsk is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitebsk won against Smorgon?
Vitebsk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Vitebsk?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitebsk - Smorgon were as follows:
28.09.2024
Smorgon
-
Vitebsk
0:3
10.05.2024
Vitebsk
-
Smorgon
0:1
Latest results of Vitebsk
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 35:8 | 27 | 52 |
| 2 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 41 |
| 3 | Isloch | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:19 | 19 | 38 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32:19 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Din. Minsk | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 36 |
| 6 | Dynamo Brest | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:33 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Neman | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25:13 | 12 | 28 |
| 9 | BATE | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Gomel | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | Naftan | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14:31 | -17 | 14 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11:32 | -21 | 13 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
