Vitebsk vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk - Smorgon
Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 12
  • Referee: Yasenovich E. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
46
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
35
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
2214
Throw-ins
3947
Fouls
1317
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Leonovich K. 🟨,
  • 39', Leonovich K. , Krasnov E. ,
  • 39', Makushinsky Y. , Girs D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', Firsov A. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Ksenofontov A. , Tikhonovskiy S. (A),
  • 64', Diallo M. , Sodikov S. ,
  • 67', Bashilov M. 🟨,
  • 67', Maslovskiy V. 🟨,
  • 72', Novykh E. , Kuntsevich M. ,
  • 72', Chebotar V. , Yablonskiy M. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Ksenofontov A. ,
  • 77', Ksenofontov A. , Lisovskiy R. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Firsov A. , Yablonskiy M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitebsk
59.8%
Draw
24.4%
Smorgon
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.8% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 29% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitebsk's performance.
  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smorgon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-28.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+22.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smorgon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitebsk - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (3.09)
    3.8
    (3.2)
    5.89
    (2.42)
    7.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vitebsk - Smorgon?
  • Users Predictions: Vitebsk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
    • In recent matches, Vitebsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Smorgon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vitebsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitebsk - Smorgon were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Smorgon - Vitebsk 0:3
    10.05.2024 Vitebsk - Smorgon 0:1
    Latest results of Vitebsk
    31.05.2025 ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk 2:0
    23.05.2025 Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest 1:3
    11.05.2025 Vitebsk - Slutsk 4:1
    07.05.2025 Vitebsk - Neman Grodno 1:0
    Latest results of Smorgon
    01.06.2025 Smorgon - Minsk 0:2
    26.05.2025 BATE Borisov - Smorgon 2:2
    16.05.2025 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    11.05.2025 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 0:1
    03.05.2025 Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk15123026:62039
    2Slavia Mozyr1695228:151332
    3Zhodino1585226:121429
    4Din. Minsk1592423:15829
    5Dynamo Brest1684427:18928
    6Neman1591523:101328
    7Isloch1667329:171225
    8FC Minsk1673625:29-424
    9Vitebsk1663728:24421
    10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1647520:21-119
    11FC Gomel1553710:13-318
    12BATE1644818:29-1116
    13Naftan16421013:28-1514
    14Slutsk1532109:24-1511
    15Smorgon15221111:28-178
    16Molodechno1511138:35-274

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga