Telstar vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.29
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
76% (240/316)84% (347/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.58
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
4113
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
117
Passes
76% (240/316)84% (347/414)
Long passes
49% (32/65)61% (47/77)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)69% (86/124)
Crosses
33% (9/27)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.40
Fouls
711
Tackles
88% (14/16)65% (15/23)
Duels won
4548
Clearances Total
2731
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.581.04
Goals prevented
0.580.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Noslin T. 🟨,
  • 40', de Regt G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Macheras T. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 46', Kaandorp M. , Hamdaoui M. ,
  • 67', Huisman B. , Gudelj T. ,
  • 67', Noslin T. , Koswal D. ,
  • 80', Hetli S. , Kharchouch R. ,
  • 80', Hardeveld J. , Turfkruier J. ,
  • 90+2', Owusu T. , Hagedoorn S. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Bakker D. , Turfkruier J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Telstar
59%
Draw
21.8%
Vitesse
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.7% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Telstar - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (2.13)
    4.26
    (3.6)
    4.86
    (3.15)
    7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Telstar - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: Telstar will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Telstar is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Buttner A. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Telstar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Vitesse were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Vitesse - Telstar 2:3
    Latest results of Telstar
    14.03.2025 Telstar - Roda 3:1
    11.03.2025 Volendam - Telstar 3:0
    07.03.2025 Telstar - Dordrecht 5:0
    03.03.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar 1:2
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    Latest results of Vitesse
    14.03.2025 Vitesse - ADO Den Haag 0:1
    10.03.2025 Jong Utrecht - Vitesse 0:2
    07.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Vitesse 3:3
    01.03.2025 Vitesse - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    21.02.2025 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 3:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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