Result
0:0
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 72% (196/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 72% (196/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (118/178) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 72% (21/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Buttner A. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
- 60', Pawirodihardjo J. 🟨,
- 65', Marschalk M. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 69', Pawirodihardjo J. ↓, Kuipers M. ↑,
- 69', Asante D. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
- 73', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
- 80', Beydts A. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
- 81', Schikora M. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 87', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Bouhekan M. ↑,
- 90+1', Braken S. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
- 90+3', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
69% | Draw
17.9% | MVV Maastricht
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitesse's performance.MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Vitesse - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.49) |
5.28 ↑
(4.5) |
7.14 ↑
(5.28) |
6.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Vitesse - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
- Vitesse is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Vitesse is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Schwarz R.
(Yellow Cards)
Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Sy K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Vitesse will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against MVV Maastricht?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Vitesse?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
21.10.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Vitesse
3:2
01.03.2025
Vitesse
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
06.12.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Vitesse
2:2
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
