Noroeste vs Vitória ES – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
29/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
28
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
61
Total shots
513
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Carlos Vitor ,
  • 36', Simao M. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Patrick ,
  • 45+1', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Felipe Affonso 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Gustavo Tonoli ,
  • 57', Felipe Affonso , Antonio Junior ,
  • 59', Antonio Junior 🟨,
  • 66', Carlos Vitor , Canario ,
  • 66', Patrick , Cezini ,
  • 66', Joao Paulo , Vini ,
  • 76', Gualberto 🟨,
  • 76', Erlon , Koki A. ,
  • 76', Simao M. , Jaquison ,
  • 79', Gustavo Tonoli , Alexsandro ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ismael 🟨,
  • 90+2', 0 - 4, Vini ,

Chances of winning


Noroeste
23.3%
Draw
29.6%
Vitória ES
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.4% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noroeste's form might have worsened.
  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória ES's recent form is better than expected.
  • Noroeste - Vitória ES Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (2.55)
    3.1
    (3.11)
    1.95
    (2.64)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Noroeste - Vitória ES?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória ES (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 1.
    • Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vitória ES is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Vitória ES were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 2:0
    19.07.2025 Noroeste - Vitória ES 0:0
    26.04.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 2:1
    01.02.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 1:2
    03.07.2024 Noroeste - Vitória ES 1:2
    Latest results of Noroeste
    26.01.2026 Vilavelhense - Noroeste 1:0
    22.01.2026 Noroeste - Serra 1:1
    18.01.2026 Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste 2:2
    26.07.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 2:0
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2