Result
0:3
19/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/432) | 76% (248/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/432) | 76% (248/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (68/97) | 47% (38/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
- 45+1', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 52', Villanueva M. 🟨,
- 53', Di Maria A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
- 56', Gustavo ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 71', Carreras A. 🟨,
- 71', Araujo T. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Carreras A. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 81', Miguel Maga ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
- 81', Arcanjo T. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 81', Tiago Silva ↓, Samu ↑,
- 82', Samu 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
- 84', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
- 84', Kokcu O. ↓, Bruma ↑,
- 84', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Dahl S. ↑,
- 90', Di Maria A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Florentino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
16.1% | Draw
22.3% | Benfica
61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.93 ↑
(5.31) |
4.23 ↑
(4) |
1.53 ↓
(1.62) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0.
- Guimarães is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Benfica in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Benfica is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Borevkovic T.
(Yellow Cards)
Embalo U.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Sanches R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:42 (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Benfica?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica were as follows:
07.12.2024
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
11.02.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Benfica
2:2
02.09.2023
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
4:0
18.03.2023
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
5:1
01.10.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Benfica
0:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
