Vitoria Guimarães vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica
Result
0:3
19/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 30
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.99
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (369/432)76% (248/328)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.25
Total shots
178
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2615
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
85% (369/432)76% (248/328)
Long passes
46% (16/35)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
70% (68/97)47% (38/81)
Crosses
36% (10/28)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.33
Fouls
1012
Tackles
60% (6/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4333
Clearances Total
1619
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
2.251.02
Goals prevented
-0.751.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ,
  • 45+1', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 52', Villanueva M. 🟨,
  • 53', Di Maria A. , Schjelderup A. ,
  • 56', Gustavo , Santos N. ,
  • 71', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 71', Araujo T. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 77', 0 - 2, Carreras A. , Schjelderup A. (A),
  • 81', Miguel Maga , Gaspar B. ,
  • 81', Arcanjo T. , Felix V. ,
  • 81', Tiago Silva , Samu ,
  • 82', Samu 🟨,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ,
  • 84', Pavlidis V. , Belotti A. ,
  • 84', Kokcu O. , Bruma ,
  • 84', Akturkoglu K. , Dahl S. ,
  • 90', Di Maria A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Florentino 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
16.1%
Draw
22.3%
Benfica
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 23.7% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 22.9% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.93
    (5.31)
    4.23
    (4)
    1.53
    (1.62)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0.
    • Guimarães is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Benfica in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Benfica is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Borevkovic T. (Yellow Cards) Embalo U. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:42 (average 0.7:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0
    11.02.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 2:2
    02.09.2023 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 4:0
    18.03.2023 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 5:1
    01.10.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 0:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Benfica
    13.04.2025 Benfica - Arouca 2:2
    09.04.2025 Tirsense - Benfica 0:5
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4
    02.04.2025 Benfica - Farense 3:2
    28.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Benfica 0:3
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2