Result
0:3
19/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Lithuania | Sport 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (369/432) | 76% (248/328) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.02 | 2.25 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 15 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
85% (369/432) | 76% (248/328) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (16/35) | 44% (24/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (68/97) | 47% (38/81) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (10/28) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.89 | 0.33 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (6/10) | 45% (5/11) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 33 |
Clearances Total |
---|
16 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.25 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.75 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
- 45+1', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 52', Villanueva M. 🟨,
- 53', Di Maria A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
- 56', Gustavo ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 71', Carreras A. 🟨,
- 71', Araujo T. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Carreras A. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 81', Miguel Maga ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
- 81', Arcanjo T. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 81', Tiago Silva ↓, Samu ↑,
- 82', Samu 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 3, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
- 84', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
- 84', Kokcu O. ↓, Bruma ↑,
- 84', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Dahl S. ↑,
- 90', Di Maria A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Florentino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães 16.1% | Draw 22.3% | Benfica 61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.93 ↑ (5.31) |
4.23 ↑ (4) |
1.53 ↓ (1.62) |
5.7% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0.
- Guimarães is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Benfica in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Benfica is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Borevkovic T.
(Yellow Cards)
Embalo U.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Sanches R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:42 (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Benfica?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica were as follows:
07.12.2024
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
11.02.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Benfica
2:2
02.09.2023
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
4:0
18.03.2023
Benfica
-
Vitoria Guimarães
5:1
01.10.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Benfica
0:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2