Boavista vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães
Result
1:2
09/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 3
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.95
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
719
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Free Kicks
1617
Offsides
10
Fouls
1716
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
1818
Touches in the Opposition Box
1436
Passes
67% (176/263)87% (440/504)
Passes in the final third
51% (44/86)81% (170/210)
Crosses
23% (3/13)19% (5/26)
Tackles
58% (11/19)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
3230
Interceptions
1113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Samu 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, van Ginkel M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Agra S. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Vukotic I. (Own goal),
  • 57', Vukotic I. , Kakay O. ,
  • 63', Arcanjo T. , Embalo U. ,
  • 63', Dieu M. , Oliveira N. ,
  • 66', Kakay O. 🟨,
  • 70', Handel T. , Tiago Silva ,
  • 70', Camara I. , Reisinho M. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Tiago Silva (Pen),
  • 82', Lystsov V. , Bozenik R. ,
  • 87', Mendes J. , Beni ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boavista
17.2%
Draw
25.9%
Vitoria Guimarães
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 24.1% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 23.3% 62.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.47
    (6.15)
    3.63
    (3.92)
    1.65
    (1.56)
    6.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.
    • Boavista is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Guimarães is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Boavista: Ferreira F. (Injury) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Muscle Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Ribeiro M. (Inactive) Silva T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista 2:2
    27.04.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista 1:0
    16.12.2023 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    07.04.2023 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 2:1
    12.12.2022 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0
    Latest results of Boavista
    02.03.2025 Boavista - Santa Clara 1:0
    22.02.2025 Benfica - Boavista 3:0
    09.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Boavista 2:1
    31.01.2025 Boavista - Famalicão 0:2
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP22008:086
    2Braga22006:066
    3FC Porto22005:056
    4Famalicao22004:046
    5Moreirense22003:126
    6Benfica11001:013
    7Gil Vicente21012:203
    8Casa Pia21012:203
    9Vitoria Guimaraes21013:5-23
    10Arouca21013:7-43
    11Rio Ave10101:101
    12Estrela20111:2-11
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Nacional20111:3-21
    15Santa Clara20020:4-40
    16Tondela20020:4-40
    17Alverca20021:5-40
    18AFS20021:5-40

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