Boavista vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto).

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.95
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
7	19
Shots on Goal
4	8
Shots off Goal
2	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Shots inside the Box
5	12
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	3
Free Kicks
16	17
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
17	16
Yellow Cards
2	1
Throw-ins
18	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	36
Passes
67% (176/263)	87% (440/504)
Passes in the final third
51% (44/86)	81% (170/210)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	19% (5/26)
Tackles
58% (11/19)	58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
32	30
Interceptions
11	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Samu 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, van Ginkel M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Agra S. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Vukotic I. (Own goal),
57', Vukotic I. ↓, Kakay O. ↑,
63', Arcanjo T. ↓, Embalo U. ↑,
63', Dieu M. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
66', Kakay O. 🟨,
70', Handel T. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
70', Camara I. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Tiago Silva (Pen),
82', Lystsov V. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
87', Mendes J. ↓, Beni ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Boavista
17.2%

Draw
25.9%

Vitoria Guimarães
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.1%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

23.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↓ (6.15)	3.63 ↓ (3.92)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.
Boavista is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Guimarães is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
There will not play in Boavista: Ferreira F. (Injury) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Muscle Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Ribeiro M. (Inactive) Silva T. (Injury)
There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Boavista has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Boavista?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:

06.10.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista 2:2

27.04.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista 1:0

16.12.2023 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1

07.04.2023 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 2:1

12.12.2022 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0

Latest results of Boavista

02.03.2025 Boavista - Santa Clara 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Benfica - Boavista 3:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Boavista - Estrela da Amadora 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Boavista 2:1 ✺

31.01.2025 Boavista - Famalicão 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

06.03.2025 Betis - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 1:0 ✺

24.02.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 0:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	27	23	3	1	54:11	43	72
2	Sporting CP	26	20	5	1	68:15	53	65
3	Benfica	27	19	8	0	58:17	41	65
4	Braga	26	13	7	6	53:27	26	46
5	Famalicao	27	13	6	8	33:22	11	45
6	Gil Vicente	27	11	9	7	39:28	11	42
7	Estoril	27	10	7	10	48:44	4	37
8	Moreirense	27	10	5	12	31:39	-8	35
9	Vitoria Guimaraes	27	9	5	13	29:42	-13	32
10	Rio Ave	27	7	9	11	28:46	-18	30
11	Alverca	27	7	8	12	27:45	-18	29
12	Arouca	27	8	5	14	34:55	-21	29
13	Santa Clara	27	7	7	13	24:31	-7	28
14	Estrela	27	6	10	11	33:45	-12	28
15	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26:48	-22	24
16	Nacional	27	5	7	15	29:39	-10	22
17	Tondela	26	4	8	14	19:39	-20	20
18	AFS	27	1	8	18	18:58	-40	11

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2