Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 4 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (126/204) | 85% (395/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (126/204) | 85% (395/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 63% (40/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 72% (81/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wellington Rato ↓, Erick ↑,
- 46', Janderson ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Osvaldo ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 59', Assis S. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 63', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 73', Peraza F. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 73', Contrera J. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 73', Parada F. ↓, Gianoli M. ↑,
- 76', Correa L. 🟨,
- 80', Claudinho 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 1, Claudinho ⚽,
- 85', Mir M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
29.9% | Draw
31.2% | Vitória Salvador
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.65) |
3 ↓
(3.11) |
2.41 ↑
(2.14) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vitória has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Vitória Salvador?
Cerro Largo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Cerro Largo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
23.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
