Cerro Largo vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 4
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN 5 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.14
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
62% (126/204)85% (395/463)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.95
Total shots
715
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
918
Passes
62% (126/204)85% (395/463)
Long passes
32% (19/60)63% (40/63)
Passes in final third
50% (34/68)72% (81/112)
Crosses
0% (0/5)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.74
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
189
Tackles
61% (17/28)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
2814
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.950.04
Goals prevented
-0.050.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Caceres R. , Claudinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Wellington Rato , Erick ,
  • 46', Janderson , Fabricio ,
  • 46', Osvaldo , Gustavo Silva ,
  • 59', Assis S. , Garcia A. ,
  • 63', Ricardo Ryller , Carlinhos ,
  • 73', Peraza F. , Rossi F. ,
  • 73', Contrera J. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 73', Parada F. , Gianoli M. ,
  • 76', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 80', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Claudinho ,
  • 85', Mir M. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
29.9%
Draw
31.2%
Vitória Salvador
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 30.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 28.5% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.65)
    3
    (3.11)
    2.41
    (2.14)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vitória has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Vitória Salvador - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2