Chapecoense vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador
Result
3:1
25/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
62%
Draw
23.2%
Vitória Salvador
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.8% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 29.6% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.89)
    4.04
    (3.37)
    6.31
    (4.17)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • Vitória is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie A
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 0.
    • Chapecoense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Cristiano (Red Card) Leo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Vicente (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    24.07.2023 Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    17.11.2023 Ituano - Chapecoense 0:0
    11.11.2023 Chapecoense - Botafogo SP 2:0
    07.11.2023 CRB Maceio - Chapecoense 3:2
    30.10.2023 Chapecoense - Tombense 1:2
    29.10.2023 Joinville - Chapecoense 5:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )