Chapecoense vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador
Result
3:1
25/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
62%
Draw
23.2%
Vitória Salvador
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.8% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 29.6% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.89)
    4.04
    (3.37)
    6.31
    (4.17)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • Vitória is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie A
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 0.
    • Chapecoense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Cristiano (Red Card) Leo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Vicente (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    24.07.2023 Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    17.11.2023 Ituano - Chapecoense 0:0
    11.11.2023 Chapecoense - Botafogo SP 2:0
    07.11.2023 CRB Maceio - Chapecoense 3:2
    30.10.2023 Chapecoense - Tombense 1:2
    29.10.2023 Joinville - Chapecoense 5:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )