Result
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Paulo
62.4% | Draw
24.8% | Vitória Salvador
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
São Paulo - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.5) |
3.83 ↑
(3.75) |
7.28 ↓
(7.5) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5.
- São Paulo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vitória Salvador?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against São Paulo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
25.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
05.05.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
São Paulo
1:3
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
