Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (194/260) | 84% (384/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (194/260) | 84% (384/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 35% (13/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/105) | 77% (82/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Camutanga 🟨,
- 42', Ferreira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 46', Camutanga ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 46', Alisson ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 46', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 58', Luciano ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 64', Caceres R. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Baralhas ⚽, Fabricio (A),
- 70', Baralhas 🟨,
- 73', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 77', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
- 82', Baralhas ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 82', Soares C. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 86', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 90+3', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
39.2% | Draw
30.4% | São Paulo
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vitória Salvador - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.01) |
3.12 ↓
(3.17) |
3.1 ↓
(4.1) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- São Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Edu
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla D.
(Yellow Cards)
Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Oscar
(Heart Problems)
Rodriguinho
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Carlinhos
(Inactive)
Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
Dudu
(Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Franco A.
(Injury)
Luciano
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against São Paulo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vitória Salvador?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - São Paulo were as follows:
09.08.2025
São Paulo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
25.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
05.05.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
São Paulo
1:3
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
