Vitória Salvador vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Barradao (Salvador).

Serie A Betano - Round 38
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	0.34
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
21	8
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
11	1
Passes
75% (194/260)	84% (384/456)
Yellow Cards
5	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.09	0.05
Total shots
21	8
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
12	3
Shots outside the Box
9	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
11	1
Touches in opposition box
34	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
75% (194/260)	84% (384/456)
Long passes
47% (20/43)	35% (13/37)
Passes in final third
63% (66/105)	77% (82/107)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.33
Throw-ins
16	16
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
60% (12/20)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
59	47
Clearances
12	40
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.05	2.09
Goals prevented
0.05	1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Camutanga 🟨,
42', Ferreira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
46', Camutanga ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Alisson ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
46', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
58', Luciano ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
64', Caceres R. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Baralhas ⚽, Fabricio (A),
70', Baralhas 🟨,
73', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
77', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
82', Baralhas ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
82', Soares C. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
86', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
90+3', Matheuzinho 🟨,
90+3', Ronald Lopes 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vitória Salvador
39.2%

Draw
30.4%

São Paulo
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29.6%

23%

Vitória Salvador - São Paulo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.01)	3.12 ↓ (3.17)	3.1 ↓ (4.1)	5.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - São Paulo?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 29.2% – 76.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
São Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vitória: Edu (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lucas Arcanjo (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Bobadilla D. (Yellow Cards) Diaz E. (Hip Injury) Dinenno J. (Knee Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luan Silva (Muscle Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Oscar (Heart Problems) Rodriguinho (Knee Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Wendell (Heel Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Carlinhos (Inactive) Claudinho (Knee Injury) Dudu (Injury)
There are questionable in São Paulo: Franco A. (Injury) Luciano (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against São Paulo?

Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vitória Salvador?

São Paulo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - São Paulo were as follows:

09.08.2025 São Paulo - Vitória Salvador 2:0

25.08.2024 São Paulo - Vitória Salvador 2:1

05.05.2024 Vitória Salvador - São Paulo 1:3

Latest results of Vitória Salvador

03.12.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Vitória Salvador - Mirassol 2:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador 1:3 ✺

19.11.2025 Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ 0:0 ✺

Latest results of São Paulo

03.12.2025 São Paulo - Internacional RS 3:0 ✺

27.11.2025 Fluminense - São Paulo 6:0 ✺

23.11.2025 São Paulo - Juventude 2:1 ✺

20.11.2025 Corinthians - São Paulo 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet