Dordrecht vs Volendam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.960.72
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
70% (184/261)80% (354/443)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.960.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.981.11
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
4224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
70% (184/261)80% (354/443)
Long passes
41% (26/64)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
57% (60/106)58% (69/119)
Crosses
14% (4/28)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.450.72
Throw-ins
1422
Fouls
1310
Tackles
74% (17/23)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4939
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.112.98
Goals prevented
0.11-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', Esajas S. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Schuurman J. (Pen),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Afaker M. , Schuurman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kotzebue V. , Haen D. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Esajas S. , Ould-Chikh B. (A),
  • 58', Curiel G. , Steur D. ,
  • 58', Beukers D. , Payne D. ,
  • 58', Zijlstra M. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 68', Pynadath J. , van der Sluijs J. ,
  • 68', Afaker M. , Slory J. ,
  • 68', Akmum R. , M'Bemba Y. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, van der Sluijs J. ,
  • 72', 4 - 1, Schuurman J. , Slory J. (A),
  • 76', Oehlers A. , Wong-A-Soij K. ,
  • 76', Ould-Chikh B. , Cabral J. ,
  • 77', Valk S. , Olde Keizer C. ,
  • 78', Tabiri K. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/b4wyczk6

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
47.2%
Draw
23.4%
Volendam
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 24.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 25.4% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.
  • Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dordrecht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Dordrecht - Volendam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.35)
    3.99
    (3.78)
    3.19
    (2.67)
    6.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Volendam?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Volendam (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Dordrecht will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Volendam (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Dordrecht is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
    • Volendam is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.
    • In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Volendam is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dordrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: Kriwak R. (Knee Injury) Parlanti G. (Yellow Cards) Seydoux L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:49. (average 1.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Volendam were as follows:
    17.09.2024 Volendam - Dordrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    02.05.2025 Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht 1:0
    25.04.2025 Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht 3:0
    19.04.2025 FC Oss - Dordrecht 2:0
    12.04.2025 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 4:0
    04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0
    Latest results of Volendam
    02.05.2025 Volendam - Roda 3:2
    28.04.2025 Jong Utrecht - Volendam 2:3
    20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4
    14.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 0:1
    04.04.2025 Volendam - Jong PSV 4:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie