Jong Utrecht vs Volendam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.953.65
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
76% (255/335)80% (326/406)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.953.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.054.02
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
921
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
2249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
722
Passes
76% (255/335)80% (326/406)
Long passes
49% (38/78)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
66% (82/125)67% (89/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.743.13
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
227
Tackles
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3962
Clearances
2716
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
4.021.05
Goals prevented
1.02-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Veerman H. , Muhren R. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Edhart L. , van der Wegen S. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Ghaddari M. , Charalampoglou G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Kuwas B. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Veerman H. ,
  • 64', de Haan M. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Veerman H. ,
  • 70', Yah G. , Agougil O. ,
  • 70', Akkerman M. , Dris S. ,
  • 78', Charalampoglou G. , den Boggende T. ,
  • 78', van der Wegen S. , Boumenjal A. ,
  • 86', Agougil O. 🟨,
  • 87', Veerman H. , Oehlers A. ,
  • 87', Edhart L. , Varjund T. ,
  • 87', Kuwas B. , Bukala N. ,
  • 90+3', Ould-Chikh B. , Curiel G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Utrecht
2.1%
Draw
15.4%
Volendam
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 20.3% 62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 19.9% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Utrecht's form might have worsened.
  • Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volendam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volendam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jong Utrecht - Volendam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    45.36
    (5.36)
    6.45
    (4.67)
    1.26
    (1.53)
    -2.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Volendam?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Volendam will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 67.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Volendam (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Volendam (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Volendam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Volendam (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Volendam is Qualified for Eredivisie
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 1.
    • Jong Utrecht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Volendam is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Volendam is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Van Hees R. (Knee Injury) el Arguioui R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: van der Hoorn M. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Volendam were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Volendam - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    13.04.2025 Cambuur - Jong Utrecht 3:1
    01.04.2025 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 0:0
    28.03.2025 Excelsior - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    Latest results of Volendam
    20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4
    14.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 0:1
    04.04.2025 Volendam - Jong PSV 4:0
    31.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Volendam 0:2
    15.03.2025 Volendam - Cambuur 4:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )