Jong Utrecht vs Volendam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.953.65
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
76% (255/335)80% (326/406)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.953.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.054.02
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
921
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
2249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
722
Passes
76% (255/335)80% (326/406)
Long passes
49% (38/78)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
66% (82/125)67% (89/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.743.13
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
227
Tackles
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3962
Clearances
2716
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
4.021.05
Goals prevented
1.02-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Veerman H. , Muhren R. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Edhart L. , van der Wegen S. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Ghaddari M. , Charalampoglou G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Kuwas B. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Veerman H. ,
  • 64', de Haan M. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Veerman H. ,
  • 70', Yah G. , Agougil O. ,
  • 70', Akkerman M. , Dris S. ,
  • 78', Charalampoglou G. , den Boggende T. ,
  • 78', van der Wegen S. , Boumenjal A. ,
  • 86', Agougil O. 🟨,
  • 87', Veerman H. , Oehlers A. ,
  • 87', Edhart L. , Varjund T. ,
  • 87', Kuwas B. , Bukala N. ,
  • 90+3', Ould-Chikh B. , Curiel G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Utrecht
2.1%
Draw
15.4%
Volendam
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 20.3% 62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 19.9% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Utrecht's form might have worsened.
  • Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volendam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volendam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jong Utrecht - Volendam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    45.36
    (5.36)
    6.45
    (4.67)
    1.26
    (1.53)
    -2.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Volendam?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Volendam (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Volendam (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Volendam will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Volendam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Volendam (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Volendam is Qualified for Eredivisie
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 1.
    • Jong Utrecht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Volendam is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Volendam is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Van Hees R. (Knee Injury) el Arguioui R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: van der Hoorn M. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Volendam were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Volendam - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    13.04.2025 Cambuur - Jong Utrecht 3:1
    01.04.2025 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 0:0
    28.03.2025 Excelsior - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    Latest results of Volendam
    20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4
    14.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 0:1
    04.04.2025 Volendam - Jong PSV 4:0
    31.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Volendam 0:2
    15.03.2025 Volendam - Cambuur 4:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie