Result
1:1
03/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 8
- Referee: Opeykina V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Morozov K. 🟨,
- 20', Tarba Z. 🟨,
- 20', Shagiakhmetov R. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Tarba Z. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
- 64', Novikov D. 🟨,
- 66', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Gutsa A. ↑,
- 66', Yakovlev V. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
- 68', Lozhkin V. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
- 76', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
- 76', Uridia G. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
- 77', Tarba Z. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
- 86', Kovalev K. ↓, Molodtsov A. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Rudenko V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Volga Ulyanovsk
37.7% | Draw
31% | Chernomorets Novorossiysk
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.88) |
3.1 ↑
(3.04) |
3.06 ↑
(2.6) |
4.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Volga Ulyanovsk will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Volga Ulyanovsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Volga Ulyanovsk won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Volga Ulyanovsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Volga Ulyanovsk?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ural | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Ufa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Yenisey | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Saratov | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
