Result
2:1
15/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 19
- Referee: Sokolov O. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Kovalev K. 🟨,
- 20', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Folmer K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nikolaev O. ↓, Morozov K. ↑,
- 46', Matyusha M. ↓, Shtepa M. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Antonov A. ⚽,
- 61', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
- 62', Umnikov M. ↓, Pshennikov E. ↑,
- 63', Kovalev K. ↓, Novikov D. ↑,
- 68', Gershun I. ↓, Uridia G. ↑,
- 68', Lozhkin V. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 77', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
- 77', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Gutsa A. ↑,
- 80', Antonov A. 🟨,
- 87', Zhigulev I. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
- 89', Aliev S. ↓, Alikberov T. ↑,
- 90+5', Gutsa A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 36.2% | Draw 30.1% | Volga Ulyanovsk 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Novorossiysk's form might have worsened.Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↑ (2.09) |
3.18 ↓ (3.26) |
2.84 ↓ (3.71) |
4.5% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
- Chernomorets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Volga Ulyanovsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chernomorets could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Volga Ulyanovsk?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volga Ulyanovsk won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Volga Ulyanovsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk were as follows:
03.09.2025
Volga Ulyanovsk
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:1
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
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