Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Volga Ulyanovsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 19
  • Referee: Sokolov O. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
47
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Kovalev K. 🟨,
  • 20', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Aliev S. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Folmer K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nikolaev O. , Morozov K. ,
  • 46', Matyusha M. , Shtepa M. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Antonov A. ,
  • 61', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
  • 62', Umnikov M. , Pshennikov E. ,
  • 63', Kovalev K. , Novikov D. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Uridia G. ,
  • 68', Lozhkin V. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 77', Kamenshchikov D. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 77', Rakhmanov D. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 80', Antonov A. 🟨,
  • 87', Zhigulev I. , Sutugin I. ,
  • 89', Aliev S. , Alikberov T. ,
  • 90+5', Gutsa A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
36.2%
Draw
30.1%
Volga Ulyanovsk
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 29.1% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 28.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Novorossiysk's form might have worsened.
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.09)
    3.18
    (3.26)
    2.84
    (3.71)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Chernomorets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chernomorets could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volga Ulyanovsk were as follows:
    03.09.2025 Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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