Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (352/456) | 71% (217/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (352/456) | 71% (217/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (82/121) | 56% (53/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Fall M. ⚽, Cicale A. (A),
- 22', Friberg N. ↓, Houston J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Lindholm S. 🟨,
- 68', Lescano J. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
- 68', Hudd R. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
- 70', Reid T. 🟨,
- 74', Raisanen A. ↓, El Ouatki Y. ↑,
- 74', Cicale A. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
- 76', Lindholm S. ↓, Akintunde J. ↑,
- 77', Gianini Dantas N. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
- 83', Wilson W. ↓, Keturi O. ↑,
- 83', Dekker T. ↓, Engstrom J. ↑,
- 90+3', Ahiabu P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
46.4% | Draw
25.7% | Haka
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
VPS Vaasa - Haka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.89) |
3.82 ↓
(3.84) |
3.55 ↓
(3.8) |
2.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - Haka?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Haka will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): VPS Vaasa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3.
- Recent performances by VPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Haka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- VPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in VPS: Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Haka: Bulgakov D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, VPS won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Haka?
VPS Vaasa has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against VPS Vaasa?
Haka has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - Haka were as follows:
02.07.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Haka
1:2
31.05.2025
Haka
-
VPS Vaasa
2:1
19.10.2024
Haka
-
VPS Vaasa
2:3
18.08.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Haka
3:2
06.04.2024
Haka
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
