VPS Vaasa vs Haka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS Vaasa - Haka
Result
1:2
02/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.43
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
81% (306/376)81% (330/408)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.60
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
313
Passes
81% (306/376)81% (330/408)
Long passes
29% (12/41)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
73% (87/120)72% (89/124)
Crosses
24% (8/33)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.24
Throw-ins
1834
Fouls
133
Tackles
70% (19/27)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
3038
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.601.03
Goals prevented
-0.40-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Dekker T. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Fall M. , Cicale A. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Mommo E. , Friberg N. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Da Sylva J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Lucas Cini , Bulgakov D. ,
  • 65', Parfitt-Williams D. , Sejdiu A. ,
  • 65', Okyere A. , Sallinen O. ,
  • 70', El Ouatki Y. , Jakonen O. ,
  • 78', Houston J. 🟨,
  • 82', Reid T. , Engstrom J. ,
  • 82', Dekker T. , Niemi M. ,
  • 83', Pedro Justiniano 🟥,
  • 90+1', Akintunde J. , Multanen K. ,

Chances of winning


VPS Vaasa
48.1%
Draw
24.7%
Haka
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 25.8% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • VPS Vaasa - Haka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.1)
    3.81
    (3.6)
    3.48
    (3.1)
    5.5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - Haka?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Haka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Haka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, VPS has had a series of away games.
    • VPS could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in VPS: Borchers M. (Inactive) Lindeman S. (Inactive) Marttinen T. (Inactive) Ronnberg V. (Inactive) Smyth L. (Inactive) Vahtera J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Haka: Romero E. (Inactive) Selander R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Haka: Houston J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, VPS won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - Haka were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    19.10.2024 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:3
    18.08.2024 VPS Vaasa - Haka 3:2
    06.04.2024 Haka - VPS Vaasa 1:2
    24.02.2024 VPS Vaasa - Haka 0:1
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    28.05.2025 P-Iirot Rauma - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    Latest results of Haka
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    14.06.2025 Inter Turku - Haka 1:1
    11.06.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 19127043:162743
    2KuPS ✔ 19114433:201337
    3Ilves ✔ 19113540:261436
    4HJK ✔ 19112645:252035
    5SJK ✔ 19104537:28934
    6Gnistan1966730:35-524
    7Jaro1964922:28-622
    8VPS1956828:30-221
    9Mariehamn1946919:38-1918
    10Haka19441122:35-1316
    11AC Oulu19431225:39-1415
    12KTP ✔ 19351121:45-2414

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )