Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (236/352) | 66% (233/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (236/352) | 66% (233/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (27/78) | 35% (28/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/128) | 52% (86/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Paananen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', van Duivenbooden S. 🟨,
- 58', Pitkanen M. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,
- 66', Haukioja M. 🟥,
- 70', van Duivenbooden S. ↓, Niemi M. ↑,
- 70', Lindholm S. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Mendolin I. ⚽, Kallio E. (A),
- 78', Lietsa A. 🟨,
- 80', Daoussi Y. ↓, Smyth L. ↑,
- 80', Turfkruier J. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 80', Muzinga J. ↓, Ogunniyi O. ↑,
- 80', Ghezali L. ↓, Jatta K. ↑,
- 90+2', Ogunniyi O. 🟥,
- 90+2', Ronnberg V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kallio E. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oulu
56.6% | Draw
25% | VPS Vaasa
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oulu - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.94) |
3.8 ↑
(3.63) |
5.12 ↑
(3.58) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oulu - VPS Vaasa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). VPS will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3.
- Oulu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- VPS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Oulu is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against VPS Vaasa?
Oulu has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Oulu?
VPS Vaasa has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
24.01.2026
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
1:4
04.10.2025
Oulu
-
VPS Vaasa
2:0
05.04.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
4:3
08.02.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Oulu
2:1
17.01.2025
Oulu
-
VPS Vaasa
3:3
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | HJK | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | KuPS | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | TPS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | VPS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lahti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SJK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Jaro | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ilves | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Mariehamn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
