Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 22
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/323) | 73% (307/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/323) | 73% (307/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/92) | 56% (69/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kulusic L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 46', Fiolic I. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 48', Bogojevic B. 🟨,
- 64', Banovec L. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 64', Ticinovic M. ↓, Jurilj A. ↑,
- 68', Bakic O. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 68', Cuic F. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
- 85', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
49.6% | Draw
27.3% | Vukovar 91
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Gorica - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.82) |
3.42 ↓
(3.78) |
4.03 ↑
(3.88) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gorica - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 50%). Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Gorica (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Gorica (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Gorica (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Gorica (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).
- Recent performances by Gorica have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vukovar 91 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vukovar 91 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gorica is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Prsir J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Durakovic E.
(Inactive)
Filipovic J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Caic V.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Vukovar 91?
Gorica has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Gorica?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
07.11.2025
Gorica
-
Vukovar 91
1:1
22.08.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Gorica
2:2
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
