Result
2:2
22/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (213/283) | 84% (415/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (213/283) | 84% (415/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 65% (79/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Vrzic L. ⚽, Pavicic D. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Cuic F. ⚽, Pozo I. (A),
- 38', Pavicic K. ↓, Ticinovic M. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 2, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
- 44', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pilj M. ↓, Klanac L. ↑,
- 46', Knoll T. ↓, Shabani E. ↑,
- 46', Leoni ↓, Banovec L. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ⚽, Ticinovic M. (A),
- 55', Shabani E. 🟨,
- 60', Cabraja M. 🟨,
- 73', Pozo I. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 73', Cuic F. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 77', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Camacho R. ↑,
- 84', Prsir J. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 86', Bakic O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
28.1% | Draw
30.3% | Gorica
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vukovar 91's form might have worsened.Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vukovar 91, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Vukovar 91 - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.72) |
3.08 ↓
(3.14) |
2.26 ↓
(2.56) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Gorica will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion HNK Cibalia.
- Vukovar 91 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gorica: Peric S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Gorica?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Vukovar 91?
Gorica has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Gorica were as follows:
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
