Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (478/561) | 68% (156/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (478/561) | 68% (156/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (152/199) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 31', Puljic J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Butic S. ⚽, Zivkovic M. (A),
- 45', Caic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 67', Frederiksen E. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Banovec L. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 81', Stulac L. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
- 81', Rozic V. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 81', Kulusic L. 🟨,
- 87', Butic S. ↓, Jurilj A. ↑,
- 90+6', Cabrajic K. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 90+7', Bulat M. 🟨,
- 90+18', Obando A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
48.3% | Draw
27% | Vukovar 91
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The chances for Vukovar 91 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istra 1961 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.93) |
3.48 ↑
(3.33) |
3.77 ↑
(3.73) |
6.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Istra 1961 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vukovar 91 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Vukovar 91 has had a series of home games.
- Istra 1961 could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kumar R.
(Inactive)
Radosevic J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Kulusic L.
(Inactive)
Pavicic K.
(Knee Injury)
Pintol D.
(Inactive)
Tadic M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Istra 1961 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Vukovar 91?
Istra 1961 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Istra 1961?
Vukovar 91 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
07.02.2026
Vukovar 91
-
Istra 1961
3:2
01.11.2025
Istra 1961
-
Vukovar 91
1:1
15.08.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Istra 1961
1:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
