Result
0:1
08/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (284/372) | 76% (266/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (284/372) | 76% (266/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 31% (21/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/121) | 63% (73/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Banovec L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Fruk T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Bosec A. ↓, Pavicic K. ↑,
- 74', Rukavina G. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 74', Morchiladze T. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
- 75', Ticinovic M. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
- 76', Jurilj A. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 76', Gurlica J. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 81', Dantas T. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 81', Juric A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 86', Fruk T. ↓, Radeljic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
24.4% | Draw
27.9% | Rijeka
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vukovar 91 - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↓
(4.27) |
3.31 ↓
(3.65) |
1.96 ↑
(1.78) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Rijeka?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Vukovar 91 (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Vukovar 91 (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Vukovar 91 (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Vukovar 91 (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Vukovar 91 (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 8 - 80%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Vukovar 91 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rijeka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Shabani E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T.
(Injury)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Rijeka?
Vukovar 91 has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Vukovar 91?
Rijeka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Rijeka were as follows:
06.12.2025
Rijeka
-
Vukovar 91
3:1
22.09.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Rijeka
3:2
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
