Result
3:2
22/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 7
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (142/213) | 83% (392/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (142/213) | 83% (392/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 66% (104/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 19% (7/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', Mulac D. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Fruk T. (Pen),
- 20', 1 - 1, Majstorovic A. (Own goal),
- 43', 1 - 2, Orec A. ⚽, Fruk T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Menalo L. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 46', Fruk T. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 46', Banovec L. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
- 46', Rodrigues L. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 2, Puljic J. ⚽, Caic V. (A),
- 62', Orec A. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 2, Gonzalez R. (Pen),
- 69', Orec A. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 69', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 69', Petrovic D. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 76', Caic V. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
- 88', Shabani E. 🟨,
- 89', Puljic J. ↓, Klanac L. ↑,
- 90+3', Juric A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gonzalez R. ↓, Koeberle S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
13.2% | Draw
21.3% | Rijeka
65.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vukovar 91's form might have worsened.Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vukovar 91, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vukovar 91 - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.65 ↑
(5) |
4.65 ↑
(3.4) |
1.4 ↓
(1.7) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion HNK Cibalia.
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 9).
- Vukovar 91 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Calhanoglu K.
(Knee Injury)
Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
Horvat M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Ticinovic M.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Rijeka?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Vukovar 91?
Rijeka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Rijeka were as follows:
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Gorica | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Osijek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
