VVV-Venlo vs Dordrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Seacon - De Koel (Venlo).

Eerste Divisie - Round 21
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.82
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
13	21
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
69% (260/377)	75% (298/395)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	1.18
Total shots
13	21
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
7	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
21	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
69% (260/377)	75% (298/395)
Long passes
42% (31/74)	41% (36/88)
Passes in final third
61% (72/119)	65% (77/119)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.02
Throw-ins
26	27
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	50% (11/22)
Duels won
53	65
Clearances
30	23
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.18	1.51
Goals prevented
0.18	-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Oorschot D. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
39', van Asten R. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
39', Afaker M. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
58', Odriss M. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
60', Heise P. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽,
63', Mokono S. 🟨,
68', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
68', Mokono S. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
74', Venema N. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
74', Vugts S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
83', Foor N. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
84', van Aken J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
90', Carrillo S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

VVV-Venlo
37.1%

Draw
26.4%

Dordrecht
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVV-Venlo's form might have worsened.

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.19)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.57 ↓ (2.98)	7.1% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Venlo might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G. (Yellow Cards) Davis M. (Yellow Cards) Timber D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Dordrecht?

VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against VVV-Venlo?

Dordrecht has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht were as follows:

03.10.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:0

14.03.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 4:0

18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 2:3

16.02.2024 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 1:0

08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺

24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0 ✺

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Dordrecht

12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4 ✺

06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

28.11.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht 1:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Roda - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie