Result
3:1
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 21
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (260/377) | 75% (298/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (260/377) | 75% (298/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/74) | 41% (36/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (72/119) | 65% (77/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Oorschot D. (A),
- 33', 3 - 0, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
- 39', van Asten R. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
- 39', Afaker M. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 58', Odriss M. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
- 60', Heise P. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Eduardo Y. ⚽,
- 63', Mokono S. 🟨,
- 68', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
- 68', Mokono S. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
- 74', Venema N. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 74', Vugts S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
- 83', Foor N. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
- 84', van Aken J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 90', Carrillo S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
37.1% | Draw
26.4% | Dordrecht
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVV-Venlo's form might have worsened.Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.19) |
3.53 ↓
(3.6) |
2.57 ↓
(2.98) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
- In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dordrecht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Venlo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G.
(Yellow Cards)
Davis M.
(Yellow Cards)
Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Dordrecht?
VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against VVV-Venlo?
Dordrecht has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht were as follows:
03.10.2025
Dordrecht
-
VVV-Venlo
2:0
14.03.2025
Dordrecht
-
VVV-Venlo
4:0
18.10.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Dordrecht
2:3
16.02.2024
Dordrecht
-
VVV-Venlo
1:0
08.12.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Dordrecht
3:1
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
