Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo
Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.05
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
74% (266/359)75% (255/338)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.29
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
74% (266/359)75% (255/338)
Long passes
29% (21/73)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
60% (77/128)65% (58/89)
Crosses
23% (7/30)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.95
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1011
Tackles
79% (15/19)79% (19/24)
Duels won
5153
Clearances
3039
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.291.39
Goals prevented
0.29-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sunderland L. , Vugts S. ,
  • 48', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Woudenberg L. , Rossi N. (A),
  • 60', Ait Mouhou N. , Janssen T. ,
  • 60', Odriss M. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 60', Triep J. , Foor N. ,
  • 60', Foor N. 🟨,
  • 69', Mokono S. , Davis M. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, van der Sluijs J. , Eduardo Y. (A),
  • 75', Rossi N. , Afaker M. ,
  • 77', Drakpe A. 🟨,
  • 77', de Blok L. , Verheij L. ,
  • 82', Eduardo Y. , Carrillo S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
46.9%
Draw
24.2%
VVV-Venlo
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 22% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 21.6% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.
  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VVV-Venlo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.69)
    3.8
    (4.2)
    3.28
    (3.96)
    6.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: Dordrecht will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Sunderland L. (Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Venlo: de Blok L. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 4:0
    18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 2:3
    16.02.2024 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 1:0
    08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    17.02.2023 Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo 1:2
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    26.09.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0
    12.09.2025 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 3:3
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    30.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch 0:1
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    16.09.2025 FC Oss - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag1091030:72328
    2Cambuur1283124:131127
    3Jong PSV1163223:15821
    4Roda1163221:14721
    5Willem II1162315:15020
    6Den Bosch1152422:25-317
    7Dordrecht1144315:14116
    8Helmond1151515:16-116
    9Venlo1150618:17115
    10Waalwijk1143418:17115
    11De Graafschap1134416:17-113
    12FC Emmen1241721:25-413
    13Oss1133517:23-612
    14Almere City1132622:18411
    15Jong Utrecht1132615:21-611
    16Maastricht1132610:17-711
    17Eindhoven FC123279:26-1711
    18Jong AZ1122714:23-98
    19Jong Ajax1114618:24-67
    20Vitesse942318:1442

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )