Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 78% (351/450) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 78% (351/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/127) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 69', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
- 69', Kromah L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
- 71', Haen D. 🟨,
- 75', Et Taibi A. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
- 75', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 77', van Oorschot D. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
- 77', Sbai Y. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A),
- 84', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 84', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽, Tjoe a On N. (A),
- 89', Blancquart G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
50.5% | Draw
24.3% | VVV-Venlo
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Willem II - VVV-Venlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.75) |
3.8 ↑
(3.75) |
3.68 ↓
(3.8) |
7.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - VVV-Venlo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Venlo (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Venlo (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
Triep J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against VVV-Venlo?
Willem II has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Willem II?
VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
21.11.2025
VVV-Venlo
-
Willem II
0:2
23.03.2024
Willem II
-
VVV-Venlo
2:0
17.11.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Willem II
1:3
27.05.2023
Willem II
-
VVV-Venlo
2:2
23.05.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Willem II
3:2
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
