Result
1:3
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (229/312) | 82% (403/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (229/312) | 82% (403/492) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (28/62) | 57% (39/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 65% (106/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.97 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Uneken J. ⚽, Held N. (A),
- 39', Kilo J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Bal J. ⚽, Waem M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Uneken J. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 58', Peupion C. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
- 58', Bal J. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
- 58', de Ruijter I. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
- 67', Kilo J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 69', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 69', van Kaam D. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
- 70', van Hedel R. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Reischl L. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
- 80', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, van der Sloot S. ⚽, Thomas N. (A),
- 87', Rottier E. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
18.8% | Draw
24.2% | ADO Den Haag
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.2 ↑
(3.47) |
3.86 ↓
(3.93) |
1.71 ↓
(1.94) |
3.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Den Haag is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against ADO Den Haag?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Waalwijk?
ADO Den Haag has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
