Den Bosch vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.37
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
1113
Passes
79% (344/433)78% (271/348)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.95
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
1113
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
811
Passes
79% (344/433)78% (271/348)
Long passes
41% (26/63)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
66% (84/128)72% (67/93)
Crosses
21% (7/33)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.39
Throw-ins
1810
Fouls
118
Tackles
71% (12/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4452
Clearances
2236
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.951.50
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Held N. , Altena J. (A),
  • 19', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
  • 44', Held N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', El Allachi C. , Semedo E. ,
  • 61', Laros M. , Wang B. ,
  • 61', Verbeek D. , Sille G. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, de Groot N. , Monzialo K. (A),
  • 67', 1 - 2, van der Leij T. , van Kaam D. (A),
  • 76', van der Venne R. , Lokesa C. ,
  • 77', Cleonise D. , Uneken J. ,
  • 77', van der Leij T. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 78', Uneken J. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Sille G. , Monzialo K. (A),
  • 84', van Hedel R. , Kuster H. ,
  • 90+4', Monzialo K. , Kuijpers D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Den Bosch
35%
Draw
26.1%
Waalwijk
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 23.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Den Bosch - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.35)
    3.76
    (3.85)
    2.54
    (2.47)
    0%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C. (Muscle Injury) van der Venne R. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Waalwijk were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 0:0
    06.07.2024 Waalwijk - Den Bosch 2:3
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    30.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch 0:1
    22.09.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 3:0
    16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4
    12.09.2025 Den Bosch - Dordrecht 3:3
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4
    16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1
    12.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )