Result
0:3
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 30
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/385) | 82% (374/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/385) | 82% (374/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 56% (34/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (47/75) | 69% (88/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 45% (10/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Heise P. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
- 46', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, Fage R. (A),
- 67', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Fage R. ⚽,
- 75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 75', Cleonise D. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
- 75', Kuster H. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 3, van der Leij T. ⚽, van der Veen Y. (A),
- 79', Fage R. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 81', van Oorschot D. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
- 81', Joosten T. ↓, Blancquart G. ↑,
- 87', Postma L. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 90', van Eijma R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
38.1% | Draw
24.8% | Waalwijk
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.4) |
3.76 ↑
(3.72) |
2.53 ↓
(2.6) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Waalwijk (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Venlo (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Venlo: Triep J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Waalwijk?
VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against VVV-Venlo?
Waalwijk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk were as follows:
05.12.2025
Waalwijk
-
VVV-Venlo
1:2
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
