AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/05/2025 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4
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indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
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norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.31
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
67% (234/350)65% (208/318)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.36
Total shots
125
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
87
Passes
67% (234/350)65% (208/318)
Long passes
28% (21/75)28% (23/83)
Passes in final third
52% (73/140)46% (42/91)
Crosses
20% (3/15)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.45
Throw-ins
3036
Fouls
78
Tackles
71% (12/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6764
Clearances
3642
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.360.95
Goals prevented
0.36-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Williams H. , McEntee O. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Hippolyte M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Jellis J. , Adomah A. ,
  • 62', Matt J. , Amantchi L. ,
  • 69', Harbottle R. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 74', Chang A. , Lakin C. ,
  • 74', Asiimwe N. , Barrett C. ,
  • 77', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 89', Browne M. , Sasu A. ,
  • 90', Hippolyte M. , Maycock C. ,

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
34.6%
Draw
32.4%
Walsall
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.6% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 30.4% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for AFC Wimbledon aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.68)
    2.9
    (3.21)
    2.85
    (2.72)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Walsall will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 2.5%64.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing at Wembley Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
    • Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Walsall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Heart Problems)
    • There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Harrison E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Walsall were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    23.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Walsall 0:1
    27.04.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Walsall 5:1
    23.09.2023 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:3
    28.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Walsall 2:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Walsall
    16.05.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 2:1
    11.05.2025 Chesterfield - Walsall 0:2
    03.05.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:1
    21.04.2025 Newport County - Walsall 0:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One