Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.18
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
64% (203/316)57% (161/282)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.92
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
164
Passes
64% (203/316)57% (161/282)
Long passes
28% (18/65)23% (20/86)
Passes in final third
51% (57/112)55% (69/126)
Crosses
21% (4/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.37
Throw-ins
3723
Fouls
416
Tackles
50% (11/22)50% (8/16)
Duels won
7347
Clearances
2946
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.920.33
Goals prevented
0.920.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 42', Browne M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Hutchinson S. ,
  • 69', Warren T. , McJannett C. ,
  • 76', Browne M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 82', Rodgers H. , Barrington L. ,
  • 82', Khouri E. , Vernam C. ,
  • 88', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+1', Reeves J. , Hippolyte M. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
36.5%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 29.1% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 28.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.59)
    3.11
    (3.21)
    2.81
    (2.7)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Wimbledon (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Davies J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    09.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:1
    05.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:0
    05.08.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    08.05.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    03.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 1:0
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One