Bristol Rovers vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 26
Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.63
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
64% (210/329)	65% (243/373)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	0.13
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
3	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
15	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
6	8
Passes
64% (210/329)	65% (243/373)
Long passes
24% (20/85)	22% (17/77)
Passes in final third
47% (60/128)	55% (83/152)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.48
Throw ins
23	39
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
58% (11/19)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
59	51
Clearances
51	37
Interceptions
13	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.13	1.15
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sparkes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Pattison A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
64', 2 - 0, Balmer K. ⚽,
66', Adomah A. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
67', Chang A. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
67', Clarke C. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
83', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
87', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
90+5', Harrison E. ↓, Moore T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
36.2%

Draw
29.7%

Walsall
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Bristol Rovers - Walsall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)	2.72 ↑ (2.4)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Walsall?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Walsall will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Walsall (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Walsall (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
Bristol Rovers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Walsall has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Walsall?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Bristol Rovers?

Walsall has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Walsall were as follows:

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Salford City - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Walsall

31.01.2026 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Walsall - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Walsall 1:3 ✺

14.01.2026 Northampton Town - Walsall 4:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League