Bristol Rovers vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 26
Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.63
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
64% (210/329)	65% (243/373)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	0.13
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
3	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
15	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
6	8
Passes
64% (210/329)	65% (243/373)
Long passes
24% (20/85)	22% (17/77)
Passes in final third
47% (60/128)	55% (83/152)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.48
Throw ins
23	39
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
58% (11/19)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
59	51
Clearances
51	37
Interceptions
13	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.13	1.15
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sparkes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Pattison A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
64', 2 - 0, Balmer K. ⚽,
66', Adomah A. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
67', Chang A. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
67', Clarke C. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
83', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
87', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
90+5', Harrison E. ↓, Moore T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
36.2%

Draw
29.7%

Walsall
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Bristol Rovers - Walsall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.88)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)	2.72 ↑ (2.4)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Walsall?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Walsall will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Walsall (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Walsall (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
Bristol Rovers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Walsall has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Walsall?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Bristol Rovers?

Walsall has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Walsall were as follows:

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

31.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Newport County 3:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Salford City - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Walsall

31.01.2026 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Walsall - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Walsall 1:3 ✺

14.01.2026 Northampton Town - Walsall 4:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League