Walsall vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bescot Stadium (Walsall).

League Two - Round 43
Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.64
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	21
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
65% (225/344)	55% (124/224)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	2.52
Total shots
16	21
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
5	9
Blocked Shots
7	4
Shots inside the Box
13	14
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
33	25
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
65% (225/344)	55% (124/224)
Long passes
34% (26/76)	32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
56% (70/126)	50% (56/113)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	1.09
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
58% (7/12)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
69	59
Clearances Total
48	34
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
2.52	1.56
Goals prevented
0.52	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, O'Connor A. (Own goal),
22', 1 - 1, March J. ⚽,
34', Moon J. 🟨,
37', Bilongo B. 🟨,
43', Taylor E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Fox B. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Taylor E. ⚽, March J. (A),
66', Harrison E. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
78', Barrett C. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
78', Hall G. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
78', Jellis J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
84', Chang A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Gordon L. ⚽, Stirk R. (A),
90', Bilongo B. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
90+2', Stirk R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Walsall
59.2%

Draw
24.8%

Harrogate Town
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Walsall - Harrogate Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.45)	3.81 ↓ (4.43)	5.86 ↓ (6.45)	6.5% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Walsall - Harrogate Town?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Walsall (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Walsall will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 3.
Walsall is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Harrogate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Walsall is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Harrogate: Cornelius D. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Groin Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Williams H. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Harrogate Town?

Walsall has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Walsall?

Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Harrogate Town were as follows:

21.12.2024 Harrogate Town - Walsall 0:2

24.02.2024 Harrogate Town - Walsall 0:2

11.11.2023 Walsall - Harrogate Town 0:1

18.04.2023 Harrogate Town - Walsall 3:0

25.10.2022 Walsall - Harrogate Town 3:1

Latest results of Walsall

12.04.2025 Barrow - Walsall 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Walsall 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Harrogate Town

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swindon	8	6	0	2	17:10	7	18
2	Gillingham	8	5	3	0	12:5	7	18
3	Salford	8	5	1	2	13:9	4	16
4	Walsall	8	5	1	2	8:5	3	16
5	Grimsby	8	4	3	1	14:9	5	15
6	Chesterfield	8	4	2	2	12:10	2	14
7	Bromley	8	3	4	1	12:8	4	13
8	Crewe	8	4	1	3	12:9	3	13
9	Bristol Rovers	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
10	MK Dons	8	3	3	2	13:7	6	12
11	Fleetwood	8	3	3	2	10:10	0	12
12	Notts Co	8	3	2	3	12:10	2	11
13	Cambridge Utd	8	3	2	3	9:8	1	11
14	Oldham	8	2	4	2	5:5	0	10
15	Barnet	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10
16	Tranmere	7	2	3	2	11:8	3	9
17	Harrogate	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
18	Crawley	8	2	2	4	7:11	-4	8
19	Colchester	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7
20	Accrington	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6
21	Barrow	8	2	0	6	6:11	-5	6
22	Newport	8	1	2	5	8:13	-5	5
23	Shrewsbury	8	1	2	5	6:16	-10	5
24	Cheltenham	8	1	1	6	3:14	-11	4

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League