Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 48% (119/249) | 54% (149/275) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 48% (119/249) | 54% (149/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (17/74) | 26% (25/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (64/146) | 48% (49/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 85 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Opoku N. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽, Slater J. (A),
- 45', Evans J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Crole J. (A),
- 62', Evans C. 🟨,
- 68', Thomas J. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 70', Brenan T. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 70', Slater J. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 83', Crole J. 🟨,
- 84', Opoku N. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
- 84', Sprangler S. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 90+1', Crole J. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 90+4', Taylor E. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County 41.2% | Draw 29% | Harrogate Town 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Newport County - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (2.19) |
3.22 ↓ (3.3) |
3.1 ↑ (3) |
7.2% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.
- Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Newport could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Harrogate Town?
Newport County has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Newport County?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Harrogate Town were as follows:
25.10.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Newport County
0:3
15.03.2025
Newport County
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
12.10.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Newport County
1:0
27.02.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Newport County
1:4
07.10.2023
Newport County
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League