Walsall vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.190.95
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
33
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
27
Passes
60% (156/258)63% (190/300)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.190.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.49
Total shots
77
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
41
Blocked shots
03
Shots inside the box
16
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
61
Free kicks
177
Passes
60% (156/258)63% (190/300)
Long passes
28% (19/69)29% (22/76)
Passes in final third
53% (49/93)47% (60/129)
Crosses
11% (1/9)9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.54
Throw ins
3226
Fouls
717
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6455
Clearances
4624
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
1.490.75
Goals prevented
-0.510.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Pattison A. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Gilbey A. (A),
  • 44', Crowley D. 🟨,
  • 45', Flint A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Mellish J. 🟨,
  • 59', Pattison A. , Jellis J. ,
  • 59', Lakin C. , Richards R. ,
  • 69', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
  • 74', Crowley D. , Hogan S. ,
  • 76', Okeke J. , Adomah A. ,
  • 76', Lopata K. , Burke H. ,
  • 82', Clarke C. , Loupalo-Bi A. ,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Mellish J. , Ekpiteta M. (A),
  • 86', Jones G. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 90+2', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Nemane A. ,
  • 90+2', Kelly L. , Sanders J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
28.5%
Draw
29%
Milton Keynes Dons
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 29% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 30.4% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.47)
    3.23
    (3.15)
    2.22
    (2.68)
    6.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). MK Dons will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 51.5%92.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 2.
    • Walsall is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • MK Dons is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Roberts M. (Red Card) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J. (Inactive) Roofe K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive) Sanders J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall 0:1
    18.01.2025 Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons 4:2
    07.09.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall 1:0
    29.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall 5:0
    03.10.2023 Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    Latest results of Walsall
    18.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Walsall 2:2
    07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3
    03.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Walsall 2:0
    31.01.2026 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2
    27.01.2026 Walsall - Crawley Town 0:0
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League