Northampton Town vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
14/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
44.6%
Draw
26.4%
Walsall
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 27.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.6% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Northampton Town - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.32)
    3.45
    (3.27)
    3.21
    (2.72)
    8.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
    • In recent matches, Northampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Walsall has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Walsall were as follows:
    07.10.2025 Walsall - Northampton Town 0:1
    04.02.2023 Northampton Town - Walsall 0:0
    04.10.2022 Walsall - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Walsall
    11.01.2026 Norwich City - Walsall 5:1
    01.01.2026 Cambridge United - Walsall 2:0
    29.12.2025 Walsall - Oldham Athletic 1:2
    26.12.2025 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 1:0
    20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2